2025 Oscars Best Picture Predictions: Potential Nominees and Winner Insights

2025 Oscars Best Picture Predictions: Potential Nominees and Winner Insights

Looking Ahead: The 2025 Oscars

As we reflect on the memorable moments of the 2024 Academy Awards, the focus now shifts to the upcoming 2025 Oscars. With anticipation building, numerous films are emerging as strong contenders for the coveted Best Picture nomination. The unpredictability of this prestigious event was highlighted in 2024, where surprise nominees and winners kept everyone guessing. Despite the challenges in forecasting results this early, several films are already standing out in the race for recognition.

Key Contenders for Best Picture

Early in the 2025 awards season, certain films have piqued interest as major contenders. Dune: Part Two, which was postponed from its original 2023 release schedule, is back in the spotlight. Additionally, new entries from esteemed directors such as Luca Guadagnino, Yorgos Lanthimos, Sean Baker, Edward Berger, Ridley Scott, Steve McQueen, and Clint Eastwood are generating buzz. However, the unpredictable nature of awards season often ushers in surprise contenders that rally momentum as nominations approach.

Preparing for the official nominations announcement on January 17, 2025, here’s a detailed look at the predicted Best Picture nominees along with some insights into other potential films in contention.

Predicted Best Picture 2025 Oscars Lineup

# Movie Studio Director
1 Anora Neon Sean Baker
2 Conclave Focus Features Edward Berger
3 Emilia Perez Netflix Jacques Audiard
4 The Brutalist A24 Brady Corbet
5 Wicked Universal Pictures John M. Chu
6 A Complete Unknown Searchlight Pictures James Mangold
7 Sing Sing A24 Greg Kwedar
8 Dune: Part Two Warner Bros. Denis Villeneuve
9 Gladiator II Paramount Pictures Ridley Scott
10 The Room Next Door Sony Pictures Classic Pedro Almodovar

Emerging Contenders for Best Picture

Jesse Eisenberg in A Real Pain

While ten films are anticipated for the Best Picture nominations, the lineup may still be subject to change as new contenders emerge. Films such as Hard Truths, A Real Pain, Nickel Boys, and The Piano Lesson are gaining traction and could significantly impact the race. Furthermore, international competitors like I’m Still Here, All We Imagine as Light, and The Seed of the Sacred Fig might make an impressive splash, while late 2024 releases like Nosferatu and Babygirl hope to bolster their Oscar chances.

The Room Next Door

Release Date: December 20, 2024

Pedro Almodóvar’s The Room Next Door is generating significant buzz as a potential Best Picture nominee. Featuring acclaimed actors Tilda Swinton and Julianne Moore, this marks Almodóvar’s first feature film in English, a noteworthy transition given his previous successes in the International Feature Film category, including a win for All About My Mother.

Early reviews from prestigious film festivals like Toronto and Venice are generally positive, particularly after the film secured the Golden Lion at Venice. However, critics suggest it may not rank among Almodóvar’s finest works. Historically, the Academy tends to reward films from established directors that may not have received full recognition for their prior contributions, potentially favoring The Room Next Door.

Gladiator II

Release: November 22, 2024

Although Ridley Scott’s recent films have received mixed responses, Gladiator II retains the allure of its legendary predecessor, which won five Academy Awards. Starring Paul Mescal and Denzel Washington, this sequel could carry critical weight into the Best Picture conversation.

Despite its mixed reception thus far and notable exclusion from the Golden Globe nominations, Scott’s legacy and the film’s historical context still offer a glimmer of hope. However, achieving the Best Picture win appears unlikely at this stage.

Dune: Part Two

Release: March 1, 2024

The success of Denis Villeneuve’s initial Dune installation, which garnered a Best Picture nomination in 2022, positions Dune: Part Two as a strong Oscar contender. Its acclaim and the Golden Globe recognition reaffirm its status as a leading contender, although it may face challenges in achieving a win.

Sing Sing

Release: July 12, 2024

After a successful debut at the Toronto International Film Festival, Sing Sing has emerged as a noteworthy awards contender. The film creatively blends professional actors and former inmates, focusing on a unique program within Sing Sing Correctional Facility.

The intriguing premise and highly favorable critiques suggest strong potential for Best Picture. A24’s strategy to re-release and fully campaign for this film enhances its chances as we approach the 2025 awards.

A Complete Unknown

Release: December 25, 2024

James Mangold’s biopic A Complete Unknown, centered on Bob Dylan, is expected to capture the Academy’s attention. With Timothée Chalamet portraying the iconic musician, the film fits well within the successful category of music biopics that have previously achieved nominations.

Although it has not yet premiered, early buzz indicates positive anticipation, supported by its strategic Christmas release aimed at attracting voters’ attention.

Wicked

Release Date: November 22, 2024

As a major adaptation of the Broadway sensation, Wicked is quickly being regarded as a serious contender for a Best Picture nomination. With outstanding performances from Cynthia Erivo and Ariana Grande, coupled with tremendous musical appeal, it’s one of the year’s biggest hits.

While musicals have faced challenges at the Oscars, Wicked’s acclaim, including recent wins and a Golden Globe nomination for Best Motion Picture in a Musical or Comedy, could shift the narrative, making an Oscar win more plausible.

The Brutalist

Release Date: December 20, 2024

The Brutalist has garnered attention for its ambitious narrative and impressive festival screenings. Directed by Brady Corbet and featuring an exceptional cast, including Adrien Brody and Felicity Jones, this film stands poised for Oscar consideration.

The late December release may present risks, but early reviews suggest it has built a momentum capable of inspiring Academy voters while attracting nominations across various categories.

Emilia Perez

Release: November 1, 2024

Winner of the Jury Prize at the Cannes Film Festival, Emilia Pérez pushes boundaries with its captivating storytelling. The film features a star-studded cast, including Zoe Saldaña, and explores profound themes, positioning it well for a Best Picture nod.

Despite its unconventional subject matter, Emilia Pérez has garnered notable accolades and hype, reinforcing its position in the race.

Conclave

Release: October 25, 2024

Based on a gripping novel, Conclave boasts an extraordinary cast, including Ralph Fiennes and Stanley Tucci. The story revolves around a Papal election, marrying a classic narrative with a strong performance pedigree. Directed by Academy Award-winner Edward Berger, this film has essential elements for Best Picture success.

With a growing list of nominations and recognition in various circles, Conclave appears on track to establish itself as a leading contender in the awards season.

Anora

Release Date: October 18, 2024

After a remarkable premiere at Cannes 2024, Anora emerges as the frontrunner for the 2025 Oscars Best Picture category. This innovative romance delves into the world of sex work and has already earned critical acclaim, winning the prestigious Palme d’Or.

Distributing studio Neon is no stranger to Oscars success, aiming to replicate their previous triumphs. With a strong awards campaign planned, Anora is expected to come under considerable scrutiny, but it is already on the radar of potential voters.

For more detailed insights into these anticipated films, continue to follow their journeys as the 2025 Oscar race unfolds.

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