Sonic The Hedgehog 3: $60 Million Box Office Opening Analysis, Franchise Comparisons, and More Insights

Sonic The Hedgehog 3: $60 Million Box Office Opening Analysis, Franchise Comparisons, and More Insights

The recent $60 million opening weekend of Sonic the Hedgehog 3 in December 2024 has stirred significant interest regarding its contribution to the ongoing franchise. Directed by Jeff Fowler, this installment features a star-studded cast including Jim Carrey, Ben Schwartz, Krysten Ritter, and Idris Elba. As the third feature in the live-action adaptation of the iconic video game series—which began its journey in 2020—the film also accompanies the Paramount+ series “Knuckles,”which narrates the exploits of the echidna voiced by Elba.

Sonic the Hedgehog 3 launched the weekend prior to Christmas 2024. Simultaneously, Disney introduced Mufasa: The Lion King, its photorealistic prequel to the original 2019 animated film that had grossed an impressive $1.662 billion worldwide—significantly surpassing the combined earnings of the previous Sonic films. Despite this, the new Sonic film dominated the domestic box office, a triumph influenced by various factors. It’s important to note that this opening weekend performance does not definitively set the film’s standing within the entire trilogy.

Sonic the Hedgehog 3 Claims the Top Spot, Outperforming Mufasa: The Lion King

Mufasa: A Formidable Competitor That Fell Short

While the cinematic narrative showcased a confrontational clash between Shadow and Sonic, the box office battle pitted the two franchises against each other. Ultimately, Sonic the Hedgehog 3 amassed a remarkable $60.1 million in its opening weekend, whereas Mufasa: The Lion King underperformed with $35.4 million, falling short of its estimated $50 million projection and significantly lower than the original film’s debut.

The complete Top 5 domestic box office standings for the weekend of December 20 are as follows:

#

Title

3-Day Total

1

Sonic the Hedgehog 3

$60.1 million

2

Mufasa: The Lion King

$35.4 million

3

Wicked

$14.1 million

4

Ocean 2

$13.2 million

5

Homestead

$6 million

Sonic the Hedgehog 3’s success is further amplified when assessing its budgetary constraints. The estimated budget for Mufasa is around $200 million, implying the movie needs to gross approximately $500 million to break even. In contrast, the more economical Sonic film, which came in at about $122 million, has a lower break-even point of approximately $305 million, a target it is on track to meet.

Sonic the Hedgehog 3’s Box Office Success Linked to Positive Reception

Exceptional Ratings on Rotten Tomatoes

Sonic from Sonic the Hedgehog 3 in front of Rotten Tomatoes symbols
Custom image by Debanjana Chowdhury

The favorable critical reception of Sonic the Hedgehog 3 may also be a driving force behind its impressive box office performance. The film has received strong acclaim, boasting a Certified Fresh rating of 88% from critics and an impressive 97% audience approval on Rotten Tomatoes, marking the highest ratings for the franchise so far. Below is an overview of the Rotten Tomatoes scores across the Sonic franchise:

Title

RT Critic Score

RT Audience Score

Sonic the Hedgehog (2020)

64%

93%

Sonic the Hedgehog 2 (2022)

69%

96%

Knuckles (2024)

75%

67%

Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (2024)

88%

97%

Comparing Sonic the Hedgehog 3’s Opening Weekend with Its Predecessors

Second-Best Opening for the Franchise

Although Sonic the Hedgehog 3 has received unprecedented critical acclaim, its box office performance has not surpassed the opening weekend records set by previous installments. While initially anticipated to break records, its $60.1 million earnings have secured it the title of second-best opening weekend in the franchise, just following Sonic the Hedgehog 2’s remarkable debut. Here’s a comparison of the opening weekends of each film accompanied by their global revenue:

Title

Domestic Debut

Worldwide Box Office

Sonic the Hedgehog (2020)

$58 million

$319.7 million

Sonic the Hedgehog 2 (2022)

$72.1 million

$405.4 million

Sonic the Hedgehog 3 (2024)

$60.1 million

TBD

The competition from Mufasa: The Lion King—a film targeting a similar family demographic—likely impacted Sonic the Hedgehog 3’s box office results since previous films did not face blockbusters with equivalent family-friendly ratings during their debuts.

Implications of Sonic 3’s Opening Weekend on Future Earnings

Promising Prospects for the Franchise

Sonic The Hedgehog surrounded by cash

Despite initial doubts regarding Sonic the Hedgehog 3 due to a noticeable decline in revenues over its opening weekend—and facing stiff competition from new holiday releases like Nosferatu—the general outlook remains optimistic. The performance of the original film suffered from pandemic-related disruptions, yet the overall trajectory for Sonic the Hedgehog 3 is promising in relation to its predecessors.

On Christmas Day, Sonic the Hedgehog 3 ranked No. 3 at the domestic box office, overtaken by Mufasa: The Lion King and the new horror release Nosferatu.

If Sonic the Hedgehog 3 sustains its momentum relative to the second movie, projections indicate it could achieve approximately $340 million by the conclusion of its cinematic run. This figure slightly exceeds its estimated break-even point of $305 million. Furthermore, the announcement of Sonic the Hedgehog 4, made prior to the release of the current film, underscores the confidence producers have in the sequel’s ability to secure additional revenue through theatrical showings, home video sales, and merchandising opportunities.

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